FARNBOROUGH, England – A plunge in Ryanair’s (NASDAQ: RYAAY) quarterly profits cast a shadow over the opening of the Farnborough Airshow on Monday, where aviation leaders were already fretting about supply chain snags, aircraft delays and floundering plans to cut emissions.
Boeing (NYSE: BA) announced a bumper order from Korean Air for 20 777X jets and 20 787s, worth $7 billion according to estimated delivery prices from Cirium Ascend, in a boost for the U.S. planemaker’s long-delayed 777X program.
But many delegates at the July 22-26 gathering of aviation leaders were not expecting the traditional deluge of deals as Airbus struggles to reach output goals and Boeing adopts a low-key posture amid its safety crisis, which was triggered by a panel flying off a 737 MAX jet in January.
Aviation was hit hard by the pandemic which saw air travel collapse only to bounce back sharply. That left many firms scrambling to resolve labor and parts shortages.
The situation has been exacerbated by a spiraling crisis at Boeing, which has had to slow production of its best-selling 737 MAX plane following the panel blowout.
Delays in delivering planes have hampered airlines’ efforts to capitalize on the post-pandemic surge in travel and inflated costs, and signs are growing they are struggling to pass those costs on to consumers as demand starts to normalize.
Ryanair (NASDAQ: RYAAY), Europe’s biggest budget airline, reported on Monday an almost halving in quarterly profit, with fares plunging 15% and management warning of more pressure to come on prices.
CEO Michael O’Leary added there had been some improvement in deliveries from Boeing, but that there were still delays and he was getting a little concerned about deliveries due next year.
Separately, flydubai reported that delays in Boeing (NYSE: BA) deliveries had impacted its fleet expansion plans, while the boss of Air India said that the airline had to rob parts from some of its other aircraft to keep planes flying amid industry supply chain snags.
“The big question for the airlines here at Farnborough is what has happened to the halo effect of demand after the pandemic – has that recovery stalled?” said veteran aviation journalist Mark Pilling, who was due to host a panel of CEOs.
Pegasus Airlines CEO Guliz Ozturk told reporters customers were going “back to basics” seeking lower fares.
“We have started seeing the normalization of demand. What does it mean? I mean, the demand is there, but now the travelers are looking for, as before the pandemic, for the most affordable, the lowest, the best price for their travel,” she said.
Hot on the heels of Ryanair’s warning, Air Canada cut its full-year core profit forecast, blaming over-capacity in some markets and weaker pricing power on international routes.
Its shares fell nearly 4% in early trading. Airline stocks were among the biggest fallers in Europe, with Ryanair down 16% at 1600 GMT, easyJet down 7.5%, TUI off 4.6% and BA-owner IAG 3.5% lower.
However, Boeing’s vice president of commercial marketing, Darren Hulst, said there was no sign of a weakening in demand for planes and suggested the warnings from airlines were just a sign of a “little bit more reality in the marketplace”.
FIXING SUPPLY CHAINS
With dealmaking expected to be limited, the focus at the air show is likely to fall on how manufacturers are tackling supply chain blockages.
Asked about Flydubai’s complaints, Hulst conceded that Boeing (NYSE: BA) had “disappointed our customers … over and over again, in many cases,” but that the work the company was doing this year was focused on ensuring that wouldn’t happen again.
Airbus CEO Guillaume Faury also said on Sunday that the European planemaker was making progress ramping up production of its top passenger jets.
Some deals will get over the line, delegates said.
Japan Airlines said it had ordered 10 Boeing 787-9s and agreed options for 10 more, while Vietnamese budget carrier VietJet firmed up a deal for 20 Airbus A330neos.
Industry sources said Virgin Atlantic was close to placing a top-up order for Airbus A330neos and Saudi low-cost carrier Flynas was poised to order up to 30 of the same widebody aircraft. The companies declined to comment.
Turkish Airlines, however, said engine talks were still holding up a potential big order with Boeing.
This week’s air show will be peppered with sustainability panels and workshops as aerospace giants and airlines seek to emphasize their commitment to reducing carbon emissions, even as they plan to massively expand global air travel.
On the defense side, the focus will be on Ukraine, possible delays to America’s future F-22 fighter replacement, code-named NGAD, and a defense review by Britain’s new Labour government.
At the show, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stressed the importance of the UK’s fighter jet capability but stopped short of guaranteeing its next-generation combat air program with Japan and Italy would not be affected by the review.
(Source: Reuters)
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